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Trends

Apart from the uprising headed by Isaac Boro the Niger Delta was relatively stable under military rule. Localised inter / intra ethnic conflicts and agitations with the state security services were common, but not dominant.

The rise of democracy brought to the population at large a hope that has been squashed by the domination of political patronage and the illegal rigging of elections. The failure of issue based politics to take root has witnessed a rapid increase in violence in the region and threats of and serious attacks against the state security forces and oil infrastructure, the veins of the Nigerian economy.

The failure of all stakeholders to seriously address the underlying root drivers of the rising violence in the region leave it increasingly likely to be pushed into a sustained conflict.